On 1/12/07, <b class="gmail_sendername">Brian Wood</b> <<a href="mailto:beww@beww.org">beww@beww.org</a>> wrote:<div><span class="gmail_quote"></span><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="border-left: 1px solid rgb(204, 204, 204); margin: 0pt 0pt 0pt 0.8ex; padding-left: 1ex;">
On Jan 11, 2007, at 3:23 PM, Andy Scott wrote:<br>> Now I am 100% with Brian on this, but it leads me to wonder what the<br>> business proposition will be for TV companies. TV ad revenues must be<br>> shrinking (due to proliferation of channels diluting their reach, as
<br>> well as the dedicated bunch of MythTV users) - so I'd guess that the<br>> costs may be recovered by ever higher subscription costs. And<br>> we're to<br>> blame for it (yes, I'm sorta joking).
</blockquote><div><br>My guess is purely subscription funded TV initially and probably pay-per-view (probably on demand, e.g. downloads) in the long term. Somebody will probably try more intrusive ads such a banners, but I don't think the public will accept it. Free to air, advertising-funded networks will have to find a new business model or go broke.
<br></div><br><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="border-left: 1px solid rgb(204, 204, 204); margin: 0pt 0pt 0pt 0.8ex; padding-left: 1ex;">As long as Myth remains a "hobbyist" application I don't think the
<br>advertisers will perceive us as much of a threat as far as commercial<br>skipping.</blockquote><div><br>The writing is on the wall. If it's not MythTV it'll be something else. E.g. LG have released TVs in Australia with inbuild HDDs that support 30 second skip (50PB2DR, 42LC2DR). Incidentally Australian TV networks refused to air commercials touting that feature.
<br></div><br><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="border-left: 1px solid rgb(204, 204, 204); margin: 0pt 0pt 0pt 0.8ex; padding-left: 1ex;">If it were to go commercial in a big way that would be a different<br>story, look what happened with ReplayTV.
</blockquote><div><br>Naturally broadcasters will try to protect the status quo in the face of change, but in the end they'll lose. It's inevitable.<br></div><br><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="border-left: 1px solid rgb(204, 204, 204); margin: 0pt 0pt 0pt 0.8ex; padding-left: 1ex;">
That's one of the reasons I get nervous when outfits try and sell<br>commercial Myth systems. I'm afraid the advertising community would<br>put pressure on Tribune to stop making things easier for us.</blockquote>
</div><br>That may well happen, and if it does then MythTV community will adapt. Don't forget that those of us that don't live in North America are already in that situation.<br><br>Steve<br>